Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.039313 0.046003 0.053374 0.062080 0.072067 0.083146 0.096352
2025-04-13 0.028091 0.036468 0.046576 0.059609 0.075897 0.095508 0.120825
2025-04-20 0.022640 0.032183 0.044643 0.061954 0.085208 0.115165 0.156445
2025-04-27 0.018614 0.028712 0.042858 0.063850 0.093872 0.134862 0.194562
2025-05-04 0.014639 0.024390 0.038980 0.061989 0.096839 0.146988 0.223742
2025-05-11 0.011954 0.021379 0.036355 0.061307 0.101085 0.161047 0.256898
2025-05-18 0.009658 0.018484 0.033332 0.059385 0.102947 0.171490 0.285512
2025-05-25 0.007966 0.016254 0.030963 0.058042 0.105347 0.182749 0.316241
2025-06-01 0.006856 0.014840 0.029722 0.058343 0.110358 0.198501 0.355475
2025-06-08 0.005721 0.013138 0.027657 0.056809 0.111885 0.208453 0.385858
2025-06-15 0.005274 0.012742 0.027978 0.059704 0.121623 0.233309 0.443835
2025-06-22 0.004606 0.011733 0.026917 0.059747 0.125992 0.248993 0.486988
2025-06-29 0.003879 0.010462 0.025145 0.058182 0.127224 0.259360 0.522074
2025-07-06 0.003304 0.009420 0.023691 0.057061 0.129186 0.271268 0.561150
2025-07-13 0.003084 0.009218 0.024080 0.059966 0.139724 0.300632 0.635953
2025-07-20 0.002840 0.008901 0.024146 0.062152 0.148980 0.328296 0.709805
2025-07-27 0.002418 0.007998 0.022650 0.060511 0.149722 0.338834 0.750567
2025-08-03 0.002111 0.007348 0.021666 0.059933 0.152731 0.354262 0.802465
2025-08-10 0.001793 0.006589 0.020259 0.058094 0.152601 0.362991 0.841151
2025-08-17 0.001544 0.005977 0.019138 0.056799 0.153567 0.374112 0.885732
2025-08-24 0.001384 0.005618 0.018656 0.057106 0.158418 0.394193 0.951160
2025-08-31 0.001189 0.005085 0.017570 0.055608 0.158597 0.403714 0.994107
2025-09-07 0.001139 0.005063 0.018017 0.058450 0.170141 0.440378 1.100598